The Alternative for Germany (AFD) as populist issue entrepreneur: Explaining the party and its voters in the 2021 German federal election

Date
2022
Authors
Hansen, Michael A.
Olsen, Jonathan
Journal Title
Journal ISSN
Volume Title
Publisher
Taylor & Francis
Abstract

This article analyses the vote for the Alternative for Germany (AfD) in the 2021German Federal Election. Using the German Longitudinal Election Study (GLES),we confirm some findings from previous studies, above all that attitudinal variables–including anti-immigrant ideology–are much stronger predictors of the AfD vote than socio-demographic variables. Moreover, we uncover three new findings in relation to vote choice for the AfD. First, anti-EU attitudes had a positive, statistically significant impact on AfD vote choice in2021. Second, negative attitudes towards political elites increased the probability of voting for the AfD. Third, and perhaps most important, dissatisfaction with the government’s handling of the COVID-19 pandemic was positively related to voting for the AfD. Given these results, we argue here that the AfD has become something of a populist 'issue entrepreneur' which, while exploiting existing niches in the electoral marketplace (the EU and migration), is finding new issues to tap and exploit.

Description
Article originally published in German Politics, 1–25. Published online 2022. https://doi.org/10.1080/09644008.2022.2087871
Keywords
German Longitudinal Election Study, Anti-EU attitudes, Anti-immigrant ideology
Citation
This is a published version of an article that is available at https://doi.org/10.1080/09644008.2022.2087871. Recommended citation: Hansen, M. A., & Olsen, J. (2022). The Alternative for Germany (AFD) as populist issue entrepreneur: Explaining the party and its voters in the 2021 German federal election. German Politics, 1–25. This item has been deposited in accordance with publisher copyright and licensing terms and with the author’s permission.